The 2023 NFL Draft class is filled with franchise-altering prospects on the offensive side of the football. We, as dynasty managers, are at a strange apex. Unfortunately, in the year 2022, that strategy has become increasingly challenging to accomplish. This puts managers in a powerful position to compete for a championship in year two while maintaining top negotiating value on all their assets during the first year. Having a young, producing roster full of receivers on the precipice of career peaks and the 1.01 rookie draft pick is a huge advantage. Managers ensure that the picks attached to their franchise are top-tier by not attempting to win year one. Wide receivers, on the other hand, have a much longer career arc of production, with 57% of top-12 finishes over the last ten seasons being attributed to players between the ages of 25-28.Īn underlying facet of the Productive Struggle is a sense of self-controlled fate. Only 9% of running backs have finished in the RB1 tier at the age of 27. According to PFF, over the last ten seasons, 67% of running backs with a top-12 positional finish were 26 years old or younger. Part of the reasoning behind this strategy is due to the career longevity of NFL players per the position they play. Receive - 2023 First Round Rookie Pick & Startup Pick 3.07 Managers can lock in a top-three positional asset while avoiding the early running back tier and adding to their future arsenal of draft picks. Inevitably this would extend your rosters' capacity to retain production from year to year with minimal volatility.Īn example of this in a modern 2022 startup draft would be selecting a player like Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, or Kyle Pitts with your first overall pick and attempting to trade your second pick for a future 2023 first-round rookie pick and a later selection in the startup. The theory is that managers can sustain a much longer window of success by attaining low-risk assets assured of accruing value. McDowell proposed that managers “punt” year one by trading back for future assets while consistently selecting young wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks with insulated value and proven production, avoiding running backs altogether. Sure, you can win in year one, but years two, three, and beyond don't appear as bright. Often overlooked by novices is the fact that in a dynasty league, those veterans have less insulated value due to their age and shortened window of potential production. Heavily investing in proven veteran producers is an obvious recipe for immediate production. Too often, first-time dynasty managers attempt to win their league in a single draft, bringing redraft fantasy methods into play and capping the lifetime value of their roster. However, the Productive Struggle strategy is not a commitment to failure, moreover, it is a willingness and patience to wait for sustained success. The Productive Struggle strategy was originated by Ryan McDowell and contained what was, for me, a game-changing concept: “Give up on year one before it begins.” A tough pill to swallow for many. Then, one fateful eve, I came across a startup draft strategy that changed my perspective on team-building and player values entirely. Innumerable hours were spent scrupulously consuming various new philosophies, strategies, and theories that coincided with the infinite nuances of managing a dynasty team. It was the summer of 2014, and I was beginning my metamorphosis from a predominantly redraft-minded fantasy football player into a budding dynasty manager.
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